Research on short-term photovoltaic power prediction method based on WOA-SVM

Konferenz: EMIE 2022 - The 2nd International Conference on Electronic Materials and Information Engineering
15.04.2022 - 17.04.2022 in Hangzhou, China

Tagungsband: EMIE 2022

Seiten: 4Sprache: EnglischTyp: PDF

Autoren:
Liu, Litao; Song, Dongming; Yang, Ying; Liu, Zhi (School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Linyi University, Linyi, China)
Hao, Wujun; Jiang, Rui (Linyi Power Supply Company, State Grid Shandong Electric Power Company, Linyi, China)

Inhalt:
To predict photovoltaic power generation more accurately, aiming at the problem of low prediction accuracy caused by improper parameter selection in the support vector machine model, a short-term photovoltaic output prediction model based on a whale optimization algorithm to optimize support vector machine parameters is proposed. Firstly, the whale optimization algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the support vector machine. Secondly, the optimized algorithm model is used for photovoltaic power output prediction. Finally, the output power of photovoltaic power stations under three different weather conditions is predicted and simulated. The prediction results are compared with the prediction results of SVM, PSO-SVM, and ARIMA methods. The results show that the WOA-SVM algorithm can effectively improve the accuracy of short-term photovoltaic power prediction.